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| Voters interest shifts from polling percentage to poll results in J&K | | | Early Times Report
JAMMU, Dec 20: Now that the last phase of the Assembly poll process in Jammu and Kashmir has ended today the main interest has shifted from the polling percentage to the results. The focus being on whether the election will throw up a hung Assembly warranting formation of a coalition Government or any single party is voted to power.
Another issue of interest pertains to the nature of coalition formation in case the election threw up a hung House. Will it be the PDP-Congress coalition? Will it be the Congress-NC coalition? Will it be the BJP-NC or BJP-smaller parties coalition Government?
Above all peoples' interest not only in Jammu and Kashmir but in rest of the country is linked with the fate of the BJP. Will the BJP be able to open its account in the Kashmir valley which has 46 Assembly constituencies. Hitherto, the BJP has not been able to win a single seat in the Kashmir valley. It was only in 1977 Assembly poll that the then Janata Party had won two seats from the valley. One was bagged by late Abdul Gani Lone who enjoyed the support of a strong vote bank in Handwara constituency. The other seat was won by Abdul Rashid Kabli who was supported by late Molvi Farooq considered to have sizeable influence in three Assembly constituencies including Idgah.
During the pre-poll campaign the BJP had become a whipping boy for the NC, PDP and the Congress. The NC leaders fulminated with force against the BJP for allegedly adopting divisive agenda in the country. The NC and the PDP had thought that by targeting the BJP they could keep their vote bank intact in the Kashmir valley and the Congress had to attack the BJP to make inroads in the vote bank of the PDP and the NC in the Kashmir valley. The Congress leaders had unwittingly targeted the BJP in the region of Jammu where reports indicated that sizeable number of voters had decided to cast their votes in favour of BJP candidates.
Assuming that the BJP is able to open its account in the Kashmir valley and if it does so it would mean that the miracle was the result of Modi and not on account of the party. Again assuming that the BJP is able to win more than 20 seats from the regions of Jammu and Ladakh again it would denote Modi's growing charisma which had helped the BJP to bag all the three Lok Sabha seats from these two regions in May last.
Another possibility. Assuming that the Congress loses the right to be a Government maker as was the case in 2002 and 2008, when it shared power first with the PDP and then with the NC, what nature the coalition Government will assume. The main interest revolves round the role the NC and the PDP will play. It is so because the NC and the PDP will never forge an alliance for sharing power.
Yet another possibility. If the NC and the PDP refuse to share power when neither the Congress nor the BJP are in a position to form a coalition Government in alliance with either the PDP or with the NC will the state go in for another election ? And till the stage was set for fresh election the state could be placed under the Governor's rule.
However, till date neither the PDP, nor the NC, nor the Congress and nor the BJP has given up hope of winning the election. The PDP leadership claims absolute majority in the Assembly enabling it to form the Government on its own. The Congress, which has been fulminating against the NC, too claims a cake-walk win. The NC leadership is certain to retain power without forming a coalition with the Congress. The mood in the BJP camp is upbeat.
If it is the scene which party will lose the election then? Wait for three days. |
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