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Mehbooba's win has led to survival of coalition Govt.
6/26/2016 10:42:02 PM
That Mehbooba Mufti's victory in Anantnag by poll is not only her personal triumph but it is a sign for the survival of the coalition Government.. Had Mehbooba lost the election it would have not only led to early death of the coalition Government but also eroded the prestige of Mehbooba whose main political strength is because of her being the daughter of Mufti Mohd.Sayeed. Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti has emerged victorious in the by-election to the Anantnag Assembly constituency defeating her closest rival Hilal Ahmad Shah of Congress by a margin of more than 12,000 votes. Iftikhar Ahmad Misgar of National Conference stood third in the elections.The by-election to the Anantnag assembly seat was necessitated following the death of then chief minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed on January 7 this year. Quite contrary to the expectations the contest turned out to be a one-sided with the chief minister winning the elections by a handsome margin of 12,085 votes. The chief minister managed to get 60 percent votes polled in the election.Out of the 28,500 polled votes, Mehbooba secured 17,701 votes, while Shah secured 5,616. Iftikhar stood a distant third with 2,811 votes. Interestingly, the Bharatiya Janta Party (BJP) did not field any candidate and the party supported the candidature of Mehbooba for this assembly constituency.In the 2014 polls, Mufti Mohammad Sayeed had defeated Congress candidate Shah by 6,000 votes and the margin has doubled this year with 12,085. This time around it was expected that the Congress candidate would get more votes, but that was not to be. Last time Shah had got around 10,000 votes and this time the votes polled by him stood at 5,616.The PDP's winning margin has considerably gone up in Anantnag despite NC and Congress ruining an anti-BJP campaign and cornering Mehbooba for allying with the rightwing party.
The election results also shows that the Congress is on a strong wicket in south Kashmir though its voter percentage has dropped when compared to the one it had polled in 2014.The National Conference,despite its consistent campaign against the PDP-BJP alliance, has not been able to stage a comeback.In fact the ruling party invariably wins any by-poll but it is not a rule and that too when people in Kashmir have been opposed to the PDP for having forged an alliance with the BJP.Despite the campaign launched by separatists,National Conference and the Congress the PDP does not seem to have witnessed any major erosion in its vote bank.Had there been a major erosion the PDP candidate would have not secured a convincing win from the by-election.What lends support to the argument that PDP has not suffered any erosion in its vote bank is indicated by the fact that Mehbooba secured more votes than her father did in 2014 election..
However,despite this convincing victory the PDP leadership should not sit in the glory of the victory.Though less than five years are left for the coalition Government Mehbooba is expected to initiate measures that would resolve basic problems of people in the state.First of all she has to initiate measures which would resolve regional discrimination and that could help the BJP to regain the ground it had lost during the last over one year.If the PDP has forged an alliance with the BJP helping each other should be treated as a two-way traffic.This means that the PDP should not take a step that would make the BJP inconvenient and may lost the ground that it had gained in 2014 election.This time the BJP should not raise issues that could make things inconvenient for the PDP..At the same time the two parties need not abandon their basic ideology if the BJP and the PDP have to secure comfortable win during the next election.For the BJP is a do or die battle in the next election because despite his good work as Prime Minister,Narendra Modi's wave may not carry the day for the BJP in the region of Jammu.Another disadvantage for the BJP.While the PDP can field its candidates in the next election from the Kashmir valley and the region of Jammu the BJP does not have any vote bank in the valley and it has to bank on the 37 seats in the region of Jammu hence it has to gain the support of people in the region of Jammu.
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