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| BJP win in Karnataka may help party to retain power in 2019 poll | | | | Will the Assembly poll results in Karnataka, which gave victory to BJP,have some impact on the 2019 Lok Sabha elections? The way the BJP routed the Congress and forced the JD(S) of securing third place indicates that the Modi wave is alive and he alone holds the charisma on people and that may help the BJP to retain power in 2019. Will the Karnataka win for the BJP have any impct on the next Assembly poll in Jammu and Kashmir ? Weill the distance between New Delhi and Srinagar is too large that when the elections,scheduled for 2020,are held Modi may not hold the 2014 charisma for the people of Jammu and Kashmir where both the BJP and the PDP,which share power,have experienced rapid erosion in their vote bank because of the failure of the two to remove regional discrimination.The problem of unemployment and the BJP's failure to grant citizenship rights to the refugees from West Pakistan have shrunk its vote bank beyond any repair. This way Modi wave may not enter into Jammu and Kashmir where the National Conference in Kashmir valley and the Congress in the region of Jammu may hold the key to success in the Assembly election. As far as the 2019 Lok Sabha election is concerned the BJP's victory may help the party to retain power. Despite the fact that BJP has succeeded in defeating the Congress it is time for the BJP to forge alliances with regional parties. Though the BJP has achieved te mandate still it could consider formation of the Government in alliance with the JD(S) which may help the BJP in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.Since Karnataka has 28 Lok Sabha seats it may prove better for the BJP if it is able to secure support of the JD(S). The BJP cannot depend on Modi wave all the time and it is time for the BJP to explore the possibility of forming an alliance with some regional parties.No doubt the BJP has been heading the NDA Government but it needs support of other regional parties in various states if it is keen to have Congress "Mukt "Bharat. And the time for the BJP is to learn a lesson or two from the Congress which had forged alliances with a number of regional parties. And the result was success for the grand alliance and that is something else if a leader like Nitish Kumar stabbed the alliance in Bihar and linked with the BJP.Ultimately it is a hung Assembly which could open chances for Aaya Ram Gaya Ram after both the BJP, which has emerged the largest single,and the congress-JD(S) staked claim for forming the Government.Since BJP falls short of seven MLAS it could also encourage turn-coats politics. The poll results in Karnataka is not only a win for the BJP but it is a victory for Modi and defeat for Rahul Gandhi. There are many in the Congress who demand that Rahul Gandhi should step down and handover the baton to some established leader. In fact his way of slighting Modi has not been taken well by the voters whether in Karnataka or any other state. The BJP leaders say that the divisive policy of the Congress has been responsible for its rot in Karnataka. Though the Congress claims to be the only secular party in India, that too a major opposition part,its art of dividing the muslims or any other caste speaks volumes about its secular traditions. And the Congress had no other alternative but to accept defeat.And senior BJP leaders say that there is no room for forging an alliance with the JD(S) because the the BJP has achieved the magic figure for forming the Government on its own. If the Congress mistakes are counted which led to its defeat in Karnataka it may not help but the BJP win in Karnataka cold influence the voters in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. |
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