x

Like our Facebook Page

   
Early Times Newspaper Jammu, Leading Newspaper Jammu
 
Breaking News :   Despite rain traffic resumes on Srinagar-Jammu highway | NIA orgnaises two-day BRICS Seminar on Misuse of Internet by terrorists | RTGS facility to be unavailable for 14 hours on Sunday | Delhi crematoriums, graveyards struggle to manage resources as COVID-19 deaths rise in city | Alarming! India reports over 2 lakh new COVID-19 cases, total case count reaches 1.40 crore | PM Modi's meetings with foreign dignitaries on hold in wake of Covid-19 situation | MeT predicts erratic weather in Jammu and Kashmir till weekend | Rebel’s revelation puts Farooq, Omar in quandary | CM secret fund case: ED to summon more PDP aides | Deadline expires but national flag yet to be hoisted on many Govt buildings | Security breach’ at Tulip Garden! | PMAY funds ‘misappropriated’ in Reasi | Authorities adamant to call teachers to attend schools without students | Major tourist destination of Jammu given least attention | DFO facilitates illegal felling, transportation of Khair wood | PM Modi interacts with Governors, LGs of all states, UTs on COVID-19 situation, vaccination | Education department organized FIT INDIA walkathon | Shri Ram Centre releases maiden production of Wilde’s Salome | Friends Cricket Club Akhnoor reached | Cornered Mehbooba looks towards Delhi | Ramadan – The holy month of fasting | Online classes during second wave of COVID | Importance of the Holy month Ramadan | Munish Gupta asks Govt to step in, address people’s problems | Culvert constructed by R&B Department on Pahalgam road turns into 'accident spot' | Majority of nallahs in Sunderbani encroached; EO feigns ignorance, no action taken till date | Excise Deptt misleading public: JWTA | Recovery of Rs 50 crore narcotics exposes terror-drug mafia nexus | Heroin worth Rs 50 cr recovered along LoC in forward areas of Tangdhar sector | JeM terrorist, 3 OGWs arrested in Kulgam | Ladakh records over 800 coronavirus cases in 10 days, infection tally crosses 11,000 | 1,086 new COVID cases in Jammu & Kashmir, 5 more die | ISJK operative 'Assadullah' arrested in Jammu, was planning something 'big': Police | Snow-clearance operation along Srinagar- Leh highway in full swing | Indian Oil Corporation launches sales promotion scheme at Srinagar | Night temp improves ahead of another spell of rain, snow in Kashmir | Govt may propose enhancement of wages for vocational trainers | Teen age vehicle lifter arrested in Reasi | GMC Jammu makes provision of OPD booking through dedicated mobile phone contacts | Margan Top road thrown open | Kashmiri Pandits perform puja in Srinagar temples on Navreh, local Muslims take part in celebrations | Traffic suspended on Srinagar-Jammu highway for weekly maintenance | Soldier injured after being hit by bullet at LoC in Kupwara | Punjabi song "Miss Punjaban" released on T-Series | Kewal Krishan Sagotra heads JU SC/ST Employees Union | Restaurants, roadside tea stalls shut as Holy fasting month begins | Muskan Foundation committed to provide assistance to PWDs: Sangral | Nothing short of one place settlement in Valley acceptable to displaced KPs: KPC | 12 candidates flagged off for training under Himayat Scheme | 12 bovines rescued, vehicle seized | Citizens' Forum expresses concern over slow rate of Covid vaccination | Shree Vishwakarma Library & Research Centre holds poetry session | More people being airlifted as Srinagar-Leh road remains shut | Sahar Khan - Ramazan drummers of Kashmir back in action | Social, political organizations pay rich tributes to Baba Saheb Dr B.R Ambedkar on 130th birth anniversary | DDC chairperson's office must be made functional with suitable accomodation: Dr Shan | Panjgrian defeats Kanjali in cricket tourney | GDC Chenani initiates survey on Research Project awarded by JKSTIC | Back Issues  
 
news details
Indo-Pak Ceasefire: The politics and their ramification
Jaibans Singh3/1/2021 11:21:52 PM
On 24 February, 2021, the Director General's of Military Operations (DGsMO) of India and Pakistan jointly recommitted to ceasefire along the Line of Control (LOC) and International Border (IB) that was first declared in 2003. "In the interest of achieving mutually beneficial and sustainable peace along the borders, the two DGsMO agreed to address each other's core issues and concerns which have propensity to disturb peace and lead to violence." they said in a joint statement. Interestingly, the statement came on the second anniversary of the Air strike by Indian Air Force on terrorist bases in Pakistan, also referred to as the Balakot Air strike.
This re-commitment brings in its wake both relief and scepticism. Relief, since it heralds a thaw, however slight, in the otherwise acrimonious relations between the two countries and will give a respite to the people living in border areas of both countries. Scepticism, since such assurances have come by a number of times earlier, only to be broken within a time frame ranging from a few days to a few months. The only time that the ceasefire actually held in letter and spirit for a sustained period of time was from 2003 to 2006, when not a single bullet was fired by both sides.
There is talk of some back channel activity leading to the ceasefire. Some Indian media reports speak of the same being an outcome of a meeting between the Indian National Security Advisor Ajit Doval with his Pakistani counterpart Moeed Yusuf in a third country. Moeed Yusuf, however, has categorically denied such a meeting. "I have seen claims by Indian media that attribute today's ceasefire announcement between Pakistani and Indian DGMOs to back-channel diplomacy between me and the Indian NSA. This is baseless. No such talks have taken place between me and Mr. Doval," he says in a tweet.
Surprisingly, some segments of Pakistan media have questioned the lack of back channel diplomacy. " One unusual development, however, was the outright denial that any government-level backchannel diplomacy was involved in reaching the ceasefire....... Some may actually see it as concerning because the denial implies that backchannel talks are either not yielding any fruit or, even worse, are not even being attempted. This is because any eventual permanent resolution of the Kashmir issue would be diplomatic, rather than military," says an Editorial in the Express Tribune, a Pakistani daily newspaper.
There were, however, indications of movement in such a direction over the last few weeks. The pace was set in beginning February with Pakistan Army Chief, General Qamar Bajwa making unusual peace inferences. "It is time to extend a hand of peace in all directions.... Pakistan is a peace-loving country that has rendered great sacrifices for regional and global peace. We stand firmly committed to the ideal of mutual respect and peaceful co-existence," he said. Later in the month, in the course of a virtual SAARC meeting, Pakistan did not mention Kashmir and instead dwelled on the COVID-19 situation exclusively. Also, India has recently allowed Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan's aircraft to use her airspace for his travel to Sri Lanka. "I welcome restoration of the ceasefire along the LOC. The onus of creating an enabling environment for further progress rests with India," Imran Khan tweeted later. A constipated tweet, as usual, but one giving credence to the decision being well thought out at the highest level in Pakistan.
Such parleys by Pakistan are driven by the need to win favour with the US administration under Joe Biden and to impress the FATF. Once again, FATF has placed Pakistan on the Grey List till June this year and may downgrade it to the Black List thereafter. Pakistan will do whatever it can to offset such economically disastrous consequences.
There is also the possibility of a nudge in this direction coming from China since the country now wants to play a dominant role in the "global economic recovery spectrum" and would like to shun acrimonious issues pertaining to its colonies like Pakistan. It can, after all, change track with the drop of a hat.
The ceasefire comes with its own set of challenges. There remains a conviction among Indian strategic experts that Pakistan will not stop its attempt to infiltrate terrorists into Kashmir. Hence, for the troops deployed along the LOC, the challenge lies in the modality to be adopted to check this infiltration while also maintaining ceasefire. Of course, Pakistan will also have to work out modalities for continuing the infiltration process without cover of artillery and small arm fire.
This aspect becomes absolutely clear from the statement given by Lt. General YK Joshi, Army Commander, Northern Command, Indian Army. "Recently, the Director General of Military Operations (DGMOs) of India and Pakistan have announced an agreement to uphold a ceasefire along the LOC from February 24 and 25 midnight. I want to assure that this ceasefire will have no bearing on the counter-terrorist operations and we will maintain our alertness," he said. This statement leaves no doubt about the manner in which the Indian Army will react to provocation by the Pakistani forces. Hence, "the onus of creating an enabling environment for further progress" rests not with India as Imran Khan suggests but with Pakistan.
As a future diplomatic course, Pakistan is likely to insist upon resumption of a dialogue process on the Kashmir issue. Psychological operations by Pakistani media to pressurise Indian in this direction has already commenced.
There remains the ominous possibility of the exercise being effectively dislodged by the rabid fundamentalist lobby within the Pakistan army in association with the militant warlords. Even General Bajwa has no say in front of this powerful lobby, what to talk of Imran Khan. They have scuttled such attempts too many times earlier and are quite capable of doing so again.
India cannot afford to set aside the reality that relations with Pakistan have traditionally remained complex and distrustful. The best option, therefore, is to remain positive about the possible success of the initiative while also remaining alert and vigilant as has been made amply clear by Lt. General YK Joshi.
  Share This News with Your Friends on Social Network  
  Comment on this Story  
 
 
 
Early Times Android App
STOCK UPDATE
  
BSE Sensex
NSE Nifty
 
CRICKET UPDATE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
Home About Us Top Stories Local News National News Sports News Opinion Editorial ET Cetra Advertise with Us ET E-paper
 
 
J&K RELATED WEBSITES
J&K Govt. Official website
Jammu Kashmir Tourism
JKTDC
Mata Vaishnodevi Shrine Board
Shri Amarnath Ji Shrine Board
Shri Shiv Khori Shrine Board
UTILITY
Train Enquiry
IRCTC
Matavaishnodevi
BSNL
Jammu Kashmir Bank
State Bank of India
PUBLIC INTEREST
Passport Department
Income Tax Department
JK CAMPA
JK GAD
IT Education
Web Site Design Services
EDUCATION
Jammu University
Jammu University Results
JKBOSE
Kashmir University
IGNOU Jammu Center
SMVDU