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Presidential poll arithmetic tilted in UPA's favour
6/10/2007 12:19:26 AM


NEW DELHI, JUN 9

The newly floated "Third Front" of some regional parties may have no adverse bearing on the outcome on the chances of the candidate of the Congress-led UPA in the Presidential election if one goes by the number in the electoral college.
In an electoral college of 10,98,882, the candidate backed by UPA could easily get over 5.70 lakh votes counting on BSP's vote share of 58,300 given the latest development in the Taj Corridor case.
The NDA candidate is expected to bag only 3,54,689 votes, given the strength of BJP and its allies. The unattached parties like AIADMK, Samajwadi Party, RLD, TDP, AGP and MDMK, which recently floated a "Third Front", carry a total of 1,06,281 votes.
Even if the votes of the newly floated third front is counted with the NDA, it can garner only 4,60,970 votes, leaving it short by over one lakh votes as compared to the UPA candidate.
Though the eight-party grouping's "Third Front" is yet to decide as to whom it is going to support, an independent Bhairon Singh Shekhawat or a UPA candidate, there were clear indications from their leaders that they are not going to support a Congress or a BJP candidate for the top job.
While TDP Chief N Chandrababu Naidu has ruled out supporting any BJP candidate, Samajwadi Party leader Amar Singh too has ruled out backing a Congress candidate.
However, Singh has clearly said they would be happy to vote for a Left parties' candidate for the post if they decided so. (more)
The NDA votes (3,54,689) consist of BJP (2,46,593), JD(U) (24,313), SHS (21,590), BJD (19, 829), JD(S) (11,938), SAD (12,728), TC (7,243), SDF (1,656), NPF (1,603), MNF (1,600), SJP (716) and National Conference (4,164).

The UPA's strength comprises INC (2,85,516), CPI-M (94,753), RJD (30,822), RSP/FB (13,341), NCP (24,007), JMM (6,452), LJSP (4,594), MUL (716), AIMIM (1,456), KEC (1,324), RPI(A) (716), ABLTC (208), DMK (29,898), PMK (8,150), TRS (7,428) and PDP (2,584).
The third front votes consist of AIADMK (19,328), INLD (4,944), TDP (14,116), AGP (4,216), Samajwadi Party (59,757) and MDMK (3920).
In the 2002 Presidential election, incumbent A P J Abdul Kalam secured 9,22,884 votes as against Lakshmi Sehgal, backed by Left parties, got merely 1,07,366 votes.
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