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| Notwithstanding public utterances BJP is jubilant over averting mid term LS elections | | | Early Times Reporter
Jammu | Oct 15
There is undercurrent of jubilation in the leftists camp in the country over their apparent victory, with both Prime Minister and UPA Chairperson conveying an impression that Indo-US atomic deal will not be allowed to precipitate the matter and rock the present Congress friendship with the left parties, which can lead to fall off the UPA government. But the leaders of left parties are very cautious in their reaction and any expression of happiness on their part is subdued, since the last word on the deal has not yet been said by the Prime Minister or the Congress President.
The BJP on the other hand, who for public consumption has sharply criticize Sonia Gandhi and Manmohan Singh as well as the UPA partners for their abject surrender before the leftists and in the process eroding the credibility of the Indian government in the international sphere, by backtracking from the agreement entered with USA, is however trigger happy and cannot help expressing jubilation over the prospect of mid term Lok Sabha elections in the country put off for the time being, if not abundant all together. Whatever the leader of the opposition, L K Advani might have said publicly and party's tall claims of its readiness to face electorates any time and even charging the Congress and UPA partners of fearing to face the elections, but the fact remains that it is BJP which has heaved a sigh of relief more than the UPA partners and even the leftists over the development of elections not thrust on them at this stage.
Besides the predictions by the pollsters about the Congress improving its tally in the Lok Sabha, if elections are held early next year or in the middle of it, the BJP will be a substantial loser, the party's own calculation and inputs did not present any bright picture at this time. The party which has been in total disarray, with factional fights in the states, where it is strong, as well as in the center, where leadership issue and projecting of the next candidate for the post of Prime Minister has not been settled, was in deep anxiety over the outcome of elections if held within next 4 to 5 months. Although the BJP has gained marginally as a fallout of goof up by the UPA government over the existence of Ram and Ram Setu, but infighting within the Sang parivar itself and determination by the VHP leaders to see that BJP under Advani's leadership does not cash on it, has set aside that advantage.
One who is disappointed most over the election to Lok Sabha having been averted, is perhaps Mayawati Bhenji, who had set high hopes of being a decisive factor if elections to Lok Sabha are held in the near future. With moral in the BSP circles at high pitch and incumbency factor in UP having not yet told upon the BSP, as well as the relief got by Mayawati from the court over Taj corridor case as well as her assets disproportionate to her known source of income, there were general calculations of BSP Supremo becoming the king maker, if not herself wearing the crown in the centre.
The general belief in political circle as well as among the political analysts is that the prospects of mid term elections to the Lok Sabha have been kept in suspending animation till the year end, when the results of assembly elections in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh, the dates for which have already been announced, are out. Gujarat by far is more crucial as trend setter for the general elections in the country. With incumbency factor in Himachal Pradesh calculated to go against the Congress, the chances of BJP forming the next government in that state are rated high, provided the two party stalwarts and former Chief Ministers Shanta Kumar and Prem Kumar Dhulam join hands and present a united face. But HP being only a small state, sending only four MPs to the Lok Sabha, the outcome of elections in the state do not count much. It is Gujarat where the stakes are high for both the Congress and the BJP. Despite banner of revolt against Nariender Modi raised by former two BJP Chief Ministers and senior part leaders, who have made known their resolve to oust Modi from power, even if they have to join the Congress, dislodging Nariender Modi from power after his ten years rule, is not believed to be an easy task for the Congress.
In nutshell the decision taken by the Congress against plunging the country into elections before the outcome of Gujarat elections is known, can prove wise as well as a disaster. |
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