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| India capable of handling J&K militancy | | US intelligence assessment New Delhi can contain separatists | |
ET DESK
Jammu, Nov 21
A leading United States’ official report has though apprehended more violence in India in the near future but has expressed confidence that country is fully capable handling situation in Jammu and Kashmir.
India, which has been "plagued by regional and ethnic insurgencies" since its independence, will remain confident of containing the militancy in Jammu and Kashmir, a new US intelligence assessment has said.
"We assess New Delhi will remain confident that it can contain the Kashmiri separatist movement," said the US report titled 'Global Trends-2025, A World Transformed'.
"However, India is likely to experience heightened violence and instability in several parts of the country because of the growing reach of the Maoist Naxalite movement," it said.
The report, which has come out as the new Barack Obama administration takes over, said that "regional and ethnic insurgencies that have plagued the country since independence are likely to persist, but they will not threaten India's unity."
It said Indian leaders could also position their country as a "political and cultural bridge between rising China and the US."
The report said that India would continue on the road to rapid economic growth.
"India's growing international confidence, derived primarily from its economic growth and its successful democratic record, now drives New Delhi toward partnerships with many countries. However, these partnerships are aimed at maximising India's autonomy, not at aligning India with any country or international coalition," it said.
The report said India probably will continue to enjoy relatively rapid economic growth."Although India faces lingering deficiencies in its domestic infrastructure, skilled labour and energy production, we expect the nation's rapidly expanding middle class, youthful population, reduced reliance on agriculture, and high domestic savings and investment rates to propel continued economic growth," it said.
India's "impressive" economic growth over the past 15 years has reduced the number of people living in absolute poverty, but the growing gap between rich and poor will become a more important political issue, it said.
India and the Indians, the report maintained, will remain strongly committed to democracy, but the polity could become more fragmented and fractious, with national power being shared across successive political coalitions.
"Future elections are likely to be multi-sided affairs yielding awkward coalitions with unclear mandates. The general direction of India's economic policymaking is unlikely to be reversed, but the pace and scale of reform will fluctuate."
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