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| Intriguing Twist | | | The evolving political landscape in Jammu and Kashmir is witnessing another intriguing twist as the National Conference (NC) appears unlikely to share any Rajya Sabha seat with its alliance partner, the Congress.
This development underscores the fragile nature of political alliances in a region characterized by complex dynamics of power and representation.
With only six legislators in the 90-member Jammu and Kashmir Assembly, the Congress lacks the numerical clout to independently secure a Rajya Sabha seat.
In contrast, the National Conference, with a stronger presence in the Assembly, with 42 legislators is in a more favorable position to claim these three RS seats outright.
The NC’s unwillingness to cede ground to its alliance partner stems from both political pragmatism and the necessity to consolidate its influence in the post-reorganization political scenario of Jammu and Kashmir.
The election to the Rajya Sabha is an arithmetic exercise where each seat demands meticulous calculation of votes. The National Conference’s leadership is likely calculating that sharing a seat with Congress could dilute its strength in the Upper House, at a time when every vote carries significant weight in shaping national policy discussions, particularly concerning Jammu and Kashmir’s future.
Moreover, as a regional party, the NC cannot afford to appear weak or overly accommodating, especially when its political survival depends on projecting strength against its rivals. Ceding a Rajya Sabha seat to the Congress doesn’t seem to be a good idea.
The Congress’s diminished presence in Jammu and Kashmir reflects its broader struggles across the country. Its failure to expand its legislative footprint in the region has weakened its bargaining power within the alliance. While the party has historically played a significant role in Jammu and Kashmir’s politics, it is now relegated to being a junior partner, reliant on the goodwill of stronger allies like the NC.
The National Conference likely sees little incentive in sharing a Rajya Sabha seat with a party that offers limited electoral leverage or grassroots momentum. Instead, the NC may focus on building its own profile at the national level, ensuring its voice is heard unequivocally in debates that affect Jammu and Kashmir’s development, and governance.
This development could strain the alliance between the two parties, exposing the perennial challenge of coalition politics—balancing regional aspirations with national alliances. While the Congress may view this as a betrayal of trust, the NC can argue that its decision aligns with its responsibility to its constituents and its broader strategic objectives. |
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