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| What is play for separatists is death for Kashmiri civilians | | |
EARLY TIMES REPORT
JAMMU, July 31: Kashmir valley, at present, is best with floods damaging houses and crops in various areas. The scenic vale of Kashmir continues to be plagued by shutdown, protest rallies, and slogan shouting demonstrations. Except for floods for all the 58 days' turmoil, death, restrictions on movement of people, shutdowns and growing difficulties being faced by the people separatists and their patrons across the border are said to be responsible. These separatists, most of them sitting in their cosy rooms, issue directions to people regarding the period of shutdown, the time and date for carrying out marches from one place to the other. These instructions are honoured even by those who are not assured of two square meals everyday. But these separatists have no power, no authority to contain the fury of floods.
They have no control over the rain gods. They have no authority for forcing the water level in the rivers and lakes to recede. For them neither the fury of floods nor the fury of people have any impact on the Kashmiri separatists. It is so because their mission is first to destabilise Omar Abdullah led Government and then seek for the settlement of the Kashmir issue. And for the main opposition parties the main mission is to see Omar led Government either dismissed or the Chief Minister buckling under the pressure which can leave no other alternative for him but to resign.
The main opposition PDP leadership seems to be sure that once the Omar led Government falls or is dismissed it may create a situation warranting midterm elections. It seems to be optimistic about its success in the next Assembly poll. It seems to believe, correctly or otherwise, that the next election will not throw up a hung house which may call for formation of a coalition Government. The PDP leadership believes that if the elections were held within next one year it can win simple majority in the 87-member House thereby allowing it a chance to form the Government on its own.
Whether the Assembly elections are held within one year or is conducted in its stipulated period of 2014 neither of the three key political players, the National Conference, the PDP and the Congress can expect to gain absolute majority. Political developments, during the last 10 years, besides the birth of the PDP coalition Governments seem to have become a permanent political feature in Jammu and Kashmir as has been the case in other states and at the national level.
It can be only a miracle if either of three political parties manage to get even simple majority in the Assembly. Another thing that seems to have become part of the political culture in the state is that either it can be a coalition Government between the PDP and the Congress, as was the case bet ween 2002 and 2008, or between the Congress and the National Conference. Hence the Congress, even if it does not get more than 15 seats in the Assembly, will determine the nature of the coalition. It will always depend on the Congress for determining whether it forms the coalition with the PDP or with the National Conference.
Since the possibilities of the National Conference forming the Government with the support of the PDP or in alliance with it are remote the Congress enjoys taking advantage of it. The separatists and the agencies across the LOC know that it is easy for them to trigger violence, kick up turmoil leading to death of civilians and bury the state under the debris of political and security uncertainty because neither Sheikh Abdullah is alive to head the state Government nor Indira Gandhi is alive to head the central Government.
The tug of war between the PDP and the National Conference, uneasy calm between the Congress and the National Conference, growing factionalism in the Congress that shares power with the National Conference, which too has been plagued by groupism, leave ample scope for the separatists to call the shots. These separatists seem to enjoy stoning the forehead of the state Government. Possibly they do not know what is play to them is death for the civilians. They need to be reminded of the story of stone pelters on the bank of a pond. When the frogs continued to be hit by stones they shouted back at the stone pelting boys "what is play to you is death to us." The boys stopped hurling stones on the frogs. But neither the separatists nor their patrons across the LOC will stop pelting stones on the security forces.
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