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Pak may push up violence in Kashmir before Obama's Delhi visit | | | Agencis across the LOC are said to have devised a three-tier strategy for escalating the level of violence in Kashmir.Reports said that under this three-tier strategy the level of infiltration of milirants from across the LOC into Jammu and Kashmir is to be increased,militants operating in the state,who have been hitherto told to lie low,are being directed to escalate their operations against the security forces and sparatists are to be provided with full moral,mtrial and political support for inciting opeople,especially the youth,to violence.As far as the level of infiltration is concerned the Army Chief,Gen.V.K.Singh,has claimed that it has increased during the last two months.He has stated that during thse two months between 20 and 25 ingress bids were made in which about 35 to 40 militants were killed.Those who opine that the level of violence may increase in Kashmir say that it as because of the fact that the American Pr esident Bar ack Obama was scheduled to visit India next month.After the Anerican authorities declared that Obama had no intention of mediating on th Kashmir issue between India and Pakistan the agencies across th LOC wish to kick up the level of violence in the valley so that Obama was forced to opt for a third-party mediation on Kashmir.The establishment in Islamabad had not relished the latest statement of UN Secretary General,,Ban Ki-moon,in which it had been stated that the UN body would use its good offices in resolving the issue only if both the sides are willing.And right from the day militancy relat ed violence surfaced in Kashmir India has been opposed to any third-party mediation on Kashmir.Hnce attempts were being made at escalating he level of militancy related violence and peoples'protest aginst the Government in a bid to secure a third-party mediation.With instructions to the troops and the security forces,deployed in Jammu and Kashmir,to remain on the offensive may not allow militants to indulge in subversion and sabotage on a massive scale.Yes,they may concentrate on keeping groups of security forces engaged in encounters and onc the rebel faced losses they may simply plant IEDs on the highays and vital road ar teries,hurl grenades on the soft targets and infiltrate into the crowds protesting aginst alleged human rights violence for forcing the security forces to open fire on the proesters which could cause a bigger damage.Int elligence inputs rule out massive participation of people in the protest rallies after they were witness to the disastrous impact of these violent rallies.Majority of people in Kashmir are not only plagued by fatigue,the r esult of violence, shutdown and curfew restrictions but ar also fed up with the overall situation which had resulted in immense losses tor aders,transporters and all those connected with tourism.There is an urge for peace though people may not hesitate supporting the separatists as long as they announce a calender which has no room for violence.But there seems to be no immediate reason for agncies across the LOC to slow down the rate of infiltration.These agncies are aware of the fact that the border routes could become impassable after they get buried under deep snow after about thr ee months.Hence they wish to push into Jammu and Kashmir as many militants as possible so that there was enough manpower in the state to keep the forces and the Government on the tenterhooks.It all depends on the strategy the Government and th security forces evolve for cont aining the level of ingress,public violence within the valley and the activities of militants.Alr eady bet ween 600 and 800 militants have been brought on the launching pads across Poonch,Rajouri,Kupwara,Keran,Karnah,Tangdhar and other sector for pushing them into Jammu and Kashmir.This calls for a fresh r eview of the delopment of troops and in case additional forces were required to plug the infiltration routes the Government should not hesitate.(
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