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| Security scenario fluctuates between hopes and fears | | | The overall security scenario in Jammu and Kashmir has,of late,been fluctuating between fears and hopes.Fears over the possible rise in the rate of infiltration of militants into Jammu and Kashmir as has been indicated by two determined ingress bids by heavily equipped terrorists.Though the Indian troops guarding the LOC succeeded in foiling the two major ingress bids but in the process four Armymen,including one JCO,were killed and four others wounded in Kupwara sector.Hopes over the way militants,operating within Jammu and Kashmir,have been forced to lie low following the success of the security forces in eliminating about 20 hardcore terrorists,including some self-styled commanders belonging to Lashkar-i-Toiba and Hizbul Mujahideen outfits.The two infiltration bids in Kupwara sector on July 27 and July 30 clearly indicated that there are agencies in Pakistan,including a section in the Army and the ISI,that do not favour easing of tension and reducing the trust deficit between New Delhi and Islamabad.
Those who are not prepared to accept it need to read between the lines incidents and events that usually took place whenever Indo-Pakistan dialogue process gets underway and whenever some foreign dignitaries,especially those from the USA,visited either New Delhi or Islamabad.These agencies incite militants and other subversive elements to kick up trouble which had the potential of further highlighting the Kashmir issue.These agencies do not want New Delhi and Islamabad to make any progress in their attempt at resolving the Kashmir issue.Possibly they have fears that the establishment in Islamabad may buckle under the US pressure when Washington has been telling Pakistan to resolve bilateral problems through negotiations and dialogue.In fact Washington has been persuading New Delhi too to resume the process of dialogue with Islamabad.Had there been no goading from Washington New Delhi may have not agreed to the resumption of talks with Islamabad following the failure on the part of the latter in punishing the perpetrators of the Mumbai carnage of 2008.
If there has been no infiltration bids by militants between March and May,the usual period for hike in the rate of ingress, why have militants started sneaking into Jammu and Kashmir from the middle of June or towards the end of June 2011 ? During the last 45 days as many as 10 infiltration bids have been foiled by the troops,who have been directed to intensify patrolling on the LOC and on the IB.Reports suggest that agencies across the LOC are perturbed over the bumper tourist traffic to Kashmir and unprecedented rush to Amarnath cave in eastern Kashmir.It has been a hassle free ongoing pilgrimage for over six lakh pilgrims to the Amarnath cave and equally a memorable season for several thousand tourists who have thronged the valley during the last four months.Agencies across the border have come to believe that the militants feel the pinch of manpower shortage which has forced them to be on the defensive.Hence groups of militants have been brought on the launching pads across the LOC and the IB for the purpose of pushing them into Jammu and Kashmir.Consequently,success of the troops in foiling ingress bids may break the backbone of Pakistan sponsored insurgency.Any failure may give new lease of life to terrorist activities.
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