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GROWING PAKISTAN’S NUCLEAR ARSENAL AND IMPLICATIONS FOR INDIA’S SECURITY | | KHUSHWANT S RANIAL | 8/18/2011 9:49:48 PM |
| The existing scenario in the Pakistan is unstable due to the unabated rise in radical Islamists protagonists and fundamentalists groups. The civil government cannot hope to stay longer due to internal political bickerings and military power is hell bent internally to rein in to assume the charge of the nation’s security. Under such a state ,the growing nuclear arsenal of the Pakistan can have an adverse implications on the Indian security .It is because the control ,command and decision – making regarding to nuclear weapons is totally in the hands of the army despite periods of civil rule .Even former Prime Ministers Late Smt. Benazir Bhutto and Sh. Nawaz Sharief have on record stated that they were candidly out of the decision making thread with regard to nuclear weapons. Thus the recent turmoil that shook the Pakistan in the month of June /July 2011 has once again raised concerns about safety, security and control of its nuclear stockpiles. A recent study by Matheww Bunn of Harvard University ‘s Managing the Atom Project asserts that Pakistan stockpile faces a larger threat from Islamic extremists than any body else on the earth. It is another issue that Pakistan government claims vociferously that her nuclear arsenals are in the safe custody and no one can breach the security to take their possession for the misuse of them but their such tall claims remains open to unanswerable queries. In fact the emergence of Tehreek –i-Taliban Pakistan ,a dreaded fundamentalist group having over reliance over the beard count philosophy has under lined the enormity of the security challenges that violent Islamists group pose to the Pakistan and the whole neighbouring region ,especially India. Today Pakistan has the world’s fastest growing nuclear arsenal. Only in the last four years or so, it has expanded from 70-80 warheads to 110 Apart her capacity of producing the uranium has reached to 100 kg. Per year and is equally expanding its nuclear infrastructure with the help of China. Moreover the nuclear storage facilities whose exact locations are not known but presumably are made within their military bases. This was done at the instance of the former President Parvez Musharaf when he came to know that US had planned to strike the Afghan Taliban in Year 2001 after the Sept. 11,2001 attack .President Musharaff was having an apprehension that in case Pakistan don’t support America in their cause ,it could even go adverse, against them as well. Earlier India and Pakistan used to give assurance to one another to not make use of the nuclear technology even in the crisis and hostile relations owing to the fact the aggressor would be hard hit by its fall out in the first instance but right since US changed approach in lending nuclear technology, this spirit seems to fading out of confidence building measures, forcing Pakistan to beg from China to strengthen its nuclear arsenal. Unarguably ,our relations with the China has never remained cordial and China too did not want to see India holding the stature of super –power so she will barely resist the Pakistan ‘s inclination of total seek and refuge and instead will keep on pouring benefits to the Pakistan to lay pressure on India . Pakistan hold this contention before the world that its nuclear arsenals are looked after by its Army’s strategic planning division having 12000 personnel who are selected after very careful screening and so their reliability cannot be shadowed over but ironically Pakistan cannot escape of the reality that their own chief nuclear scientist namely A Q Khan in year 2004 was charged for spying and sharing the nuclear technology to other nations like Libya ,Iran, North Korea and even to the Afghanistan. Reliable inputs have revealed that there is also growing dissension between army, intelligence agencies as well as militant’s outfits and the later ones are taking undue advantage of their collusion to emerge victorious by causing huge loss, both in the form of men and material. In light of all these factors where Pakistan’s foreign policy towards India is of double standard particularly remembering the Kargil War episode is hard to believe and digest where on the one hand she extended the hands of friendship and simultaneously in clandestine manner kept on piling the military strength to occupy the frozen territory is enough to be an eye opener for learning the basic policies . And if we go beyond the Kargil war era and remember the period of years 1965 and 1971 , one should not forget that we met with the counterpart aggression by shifting the deployed forces from Tibet border where fortunately on both occasions ,hostile conditions were prevailing .But that era was focused around infantry ,artillery and fleet of tanks due to poor developed defence capabilities then now. With Indian defence budget pegged only at 2% and Pakistan constantly sharing secret pact related defence with the China and also having gained around 20 billion dollars aid from the US in the last one decade making Pakistan strong enough to buy military hard ware, the security implications for our country has multiplied multifold times particularly in the light of the induction of the Chinese troops along the north areas of Baltistan and Gilgit and the Pakistan military unwilling to exert pressure on the Islamists forces have even forced the US to think seriously .It is a clear admission in the west that they shall not be averse to the idea of US forcibly taking possession of Pakistan’s weapons of mass destruction if Pakistan fails to perform her duties in sincerest manner to avoid the holocaust although nuclear proliferation had never seemed an area of concern for the US quite earlier since September 2001. Hence under the existing scenario, it becomes imperative for India to strive for the excellence in upgrading our defence capabilities to extend our own area of influence over entire region to ensure peace and tranquillity and save the country’s off shores and other vulnerable territories from any grave risk.
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