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| Is Jammu losing its Hindu majority trait? | | World Population Day | | Abodh Sharma
Jammu, July 10: In the midst of Syeed Ali Shah Gilani's din over demographic change in the Valley in the garb of return of Kashmiri Pandits to their homes and hearths, the fact of the matter is that while Jammu district has undergone a sea change in its demographic character as a predominantly Hindu majority region in the last two decades. An analysis of the trends of the population growth of Muslim population in the country indicates that it would not be long before India becomes a Muslim majority State.
In Jammu and Kashmir especially, the demographic character was changed after the ouster of the entire Hindu and majority of Sikh community from the Valley, leaving Valley with an overwhelming Muslim majority. Similar phenomenon has been observed in the other Muslim majority districts of Jammu province also on the other hand, Jammu witnessed large scale Muslim settlements in Bathindi, Sidhra, Khanpur, Bahu Basti, Chhani, parts of Janipur correspondingly.
Many a hackles were raised across the country when a noted Hindu leader appealed to the Hindu families of the country to bear more children, but statistics suggest that if the Hindu population of the country continued to grow with the same rate against that of the Muslims, India could lose its identity as Hindu majority country in just a few decades.
The Muslim population has grown in India at one and half times the growth rate of Hindu population. In broad terms, the Muslim population in India has been growing geometrically as against that of Hindus who have been growing in arithmetically. And with the improvement of educational and economic level of the Hindus, the disparity has become even more pronounced. According to consensus reports, Muslim population has steadily grown from 13% in 1800 to 16% in 1850 to 20% in 1900 to 25% in 1947 and anywhere between 30 to 33% today taking into account the geographical area of pre-partitioned India.
A study of the consensus reports of 1961 and 2001 reveal that between 1961 and 2011, in absolute numbers, the Hindu population has grown from 36 crore to 83 crore - a growth of 126% while the Muslim population in the same period grew from 4.7 crore to 18 crore -- a growth of 250%.
Experts out rightly reject the illiteracy theory for rapid growth of population amongst the Muslims. The myth of linking high population growth with lack of education has been amply demolished by the census itself. Muslim literacy of 59.1% in India is really not that much lower than those of the Hindus at 65.1% and in some States, it is even higher than those of Hindus. Even in those States, the Muslim population growth is still higher than those of the Hindus. |
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