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| GST 2025: A Bold Reform with Promises and Pitfalls | | | Chafikhur Rahman
When the Goods and Services Tax (GST) was first introduced in 2017, it was called “one nation, one tax.” Over the years, GST has been criticized for its complexity, uneven impact on industries, and burden on small businesses. Now in 2025, the government has introduced what many are calling GST 2.0—a major reform aimed at simplifying the system, reducing rates, and boosting the economy.
The Main Features of GST 2025: The new GST framework rests on a few bold changes:
1. Two Main Tax Slabs – Instead of the earlier four slabs (5%, 12%, 18%, 28%), India now has just two: 5% and 18%. Luxury and harmful goods attract a special 40% sin tax.
2. Essentials Made Tax-Free – Everyday items like milk, bread, paneer, roti, notebooks, and life-saving medicines now carry 0% GST, making basic living more affordable.
3. Durable Goods Become Cheaper – Electronics, TVs, washing machines, hybrid cars, and even small petrol/diesel cars under 4 meters have moved to the 18% slab instead of 28%.
4. Relief for Farmers and MSMEs – Agricultural equipment like tractors and harvesters now face reduced or zero GST. Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) also benefit from simpler compliance and cheaper inputs.
5. Consumption Push – The reform is expected to increase spending in housing, auto, consumer durables, hospitality, and insurance—sectors that directly touch millions of Indian lives.
The Positive Impact:
1. A Boost to the Common Household: By making essentials tax-free, GST 2025 directly reduces the monthly expense of middle-class and poor households. A family’s grocery bill is now lighter, and school-going children benefit from cheaper notebooks and pencils. This is not just good economics—it is also good politics.
2. Cheaper Cars and Electronics: The automobile and consumer durable sectors are big winners. For example, small cars are now Rs. 35,000 to Rs.1.3 lakh cheaper, depending on the model. An air-conditioner or television is now taxed at 18% instead of 28%. This encourages households to buy goods they once postponed, thus reviving demand.
3. A Push to Growth and Jobs: Economists expect GST reforms to add 0.6–1.2 percentage points to India’s GDP growth over the next year. With demand rising, factories will increase production, and new jobs will be created in auto, cement, and consumer goods sectors.
4. Support for Farmers and Rural India: By cutting GST on tractors and harvesters, the cost of farming comes down. Farmers may now be able to save more or invest in better seeds and fertilizers. For a country where agriculture still supports 40% of the workforce, this is a meaningful reform.
5. Confidence in Markets: Stock markets responded with cheer. Both Sensex and Nifty rose more than 1% when the reforms were announced. Investors see GST 2.0 as a signal that India is serious about reviving consumption at a time when global trade faces uncertainty.
The Negative Impact:
1. Revenue Shock to Government: The biggest concern is that tax collections may fall. Analysts estimate a Rs. 22,000–24,000 crore shortfall for FY26. States, already stretched for funds, may struggle to balance their budgets. While higher demand may compensate later, the short-term impact on public finances cannot be ignored.
2. Unequal Benefits: Not every sector benefits equally. Luxury goods and high-end motorcycles now face heavy taxes. For premium brands, the GST change may reduce sales. Similarly, the service sector—especially professional services—feels that it did not get enough relief.
3. Compliance Burdens Remain: Although rates are simpler, filing GST returns still involves technical complexities, paperwork, and portal glitches. Small shopkeepers and traders argue that until compliance is made truly seamless, GST will continue to feel heavy.
4. External Risks: India’s reforms come at a time when the United States has imposed 50% tariffs on Indian exports. Cheaper goods at home may increase consumption, but falling exports could offset this growth. GST cannot solve global trade disputes.
5. Long-Term Fiscal Risks: The sharp 40% sin tax on items like tobacco and luxury cars may discourage demand in those segments. While this helps public health, it reduces government revenue from industries that once paid high taxes. If consumption patterns shift too quickly, states may face unexpected losses.
Real Examples: A young professional buying a hatchback car now saves nearly Rs.1 lakh, thanks to the reduced GST.
A farmer in Punjab can now buy a tractor at a lower price, reducing his cost of production.
A family in Assam finds their monthly food basket cheaper as paneer, roti, and milk products are tax-free.
Meanwhile, a buyer of a luxury SUV may face higher taxes, signaling a shift towards taxing the rich more heavily.
Balancing the Scales: Like all big reforms, GST 2025 has two sides. On one hand, it has given a festival-like relief to the common citizen, businesses, and farmers. On the other hand, it raises serious questions about government revenues and the long-term stability of India’s tax system.
The reform is being praised as timely and people-friendly, especially as it arrives during a global slowdown and rising trade tensions. Yet, critics remind us that GST is not just about rates—it is also about ease of filing, strong IT systems, and fair sharing of revenue between Centre and states. Unless these issues are addressed, GST will remain a half-finished revolution.
I believe that GST 2.0 is a bold and necessary step. It simplifies the tax structure, boosts consumption, and brings relief to ordinary citizens. At the same time, the government must act quickly to ensure that:
(i) States are compensated fairly for revenue loss.
(ii) Compliance is made truly simple, especially for small traders.
(iii) Fiscal stability is maintained without cutting social spending.
(iv) Export sectors are given parallel support to balance trade shocks.
In the final analysis, GST 2025 is not the end of reform—it is only the next step. If implemented with care, it could mark the beginning of India’s next growth chapter. But if the gaps are ignored, it could add to fiscal stress and uneven development.
Conclusion: The story of GST is also the story of India’s economic journey—ambitious, complicated, but full of promise. GST 2025 offers a chance to turn the “Good and Simple Tax” slogan into reality. Whether it succeeds will depend not just on tax rates, but on the government’s ability to balance revenues, support states, and build trust with businesses and citizens.
For now, one thing is clear: GST 2025 has changed the economic conversation in India. |
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STOCK UPDATE |
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CRICKET UPDATE |
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