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| Touch war of 2019 | | | Satwant Singh Rissam | 3/27/2019 10:24:51 PM |
| The so called festival of democracy i.e. parliamentary elections are about to start again from April 11th, 2019. The nation goes to polls in seven phases which are spread across the months of April and May but in Jammu and Kashmir, the general election will be held in five phases on April 11, 18, 23, 29 and May 6. The 2019 general election are a test for both Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the Congress President Rahul Gandhi and it will design the political future of both these politicians. Strangely, this time some media houses, even before the filing of nominations has started, are showing the polls/surveys of result. As per my observation they are giving two forecasts, one that, PM Modi will be back in 2019 and second that, they are trying to play some role in it.
After the Pulwama fidayeen attack, the Modi government was entirely on back foot as it showed the government on a weak side. Later the air strikes on Balakot area in Pakistan and reaction to it by Pakistan brought the situation to the brink of war. Many loved this situation while sitting in front of their televisions but they all forgot what the people on borders have to go through in such tense situations. PM Modi's image became stronger after these air strikes and in addition he lost no time in raising the idea of nationalism across India. In his several rallies after these air strikes, he made numerous attempts to win people's confidence. After all this, a heavy dose of nationalism was injected through different means. But this didn't end here because after air strikes in Balakot many contrary views started coming out which challenged the actual damage caused by these air strikes. The suspicion grew further when the foreign media houses denied the big claims of damage and death toll made by the Indian politicians especially from BJP. After this everyone wanted to know the truth behind Balakot strike and this made the commentary grow around it. The step was taken but what was its intensity remains unanswered and the BJP after the Pulwama attack very successfully took the narrative away from the issues opposition has been raising against it in last 2-3 years.
Pulwama attack has become the turning point of the election war of 2019. In this process we also saw posters across India of Wing Commander Abhinandan being put up in various cities. I feel using national pride as a tool of elections is seen for the first time in country and BJP has used it in its favour in a strategic manner. The opposition looks helpless and has to discover new avenues to counter this new wave raised by the BJP. While this all is going on, the Congress party is searching its identity within the new Mahagathbandhan politics by bringing in Priyanka Gandhi Vadra. In my opinion, BJP this time will struggle to repeat its 2014 Lok Sabha performance importantly after the formation of Mahagathbandhan across country against BJP. This also is signaled as Sonia Gandhi has chosen to contest again from Raebareli and has come out of her self-imposed retirement to try to keep the NDA out of power if situation arises. Presently, the BJP has the strongest resources but the Congress after winning Rajasthan, MP and Chhattisgarh from BJP in 2018 still has a reason to stay positive.
Now as far as Lok Sabha polls in Jammu and Kashmir are concerned the Congress and National Conference (NC) have formed a new kind of 'gathbandhan' which will also see friendly contest within them. BJP will go through a testing time in Jammu as its old member Lal Singh is out on political turf as a rebel and is contesting on both Lok sabha seats of Jammu region. Nevertheless BJP doesn't consider Lal Singh and his Dogra Swabhiman Sangthathan as a threat. Only results of both Jammu seats will tell what kind of political damage he caused. As far as assembly elections were concerned in Jammu and Kashmir it was expected from political parties that the election commission will conduct simultaneous polls in the state. Yet the election commission deferred the assembly elections and this step didn't go well with the political parties and PDP chief Mehbooba Mufti defined it as a threatening step in democracy. On the other hand, former CM Omar Abdullah described it as surrender to Pakistan and he even questioned Modi's image of being a strong Prime Minister. After this all criticism on the crucial issue the government appointed three poll observers i.e. former IAS officer Noor Mohammad, former IPS officer A.S. Gill and former tourism secretary Vinod Zutshi to oversee the situation for elections in the state. After this step the latest reports are coming in which suggest that the decision of not holding elections to state assembly could be reviewed soon. The poll fever is high everywhere and the people by now must have made up their minds to a large extent for the tough war of 2019 between rising Rahul and mighty Modi.
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