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| BJP may spring a surprise in J&K | | PDP likely to decimate NC | | Rustam
JAMMU, May 13: The fate of the six candidates who sought election to the 16th Lok Sabha in Jammu and Kashmir will be known on May 16, the day the under-attack Election Commission will announce results. But the exit polls conducted by the various poll agencies have predicted what is in store for the political parties. All the exit polls, without any exception, have predicted a massive victory for the BJP-led NDA and doom for the Congress-led UPA. The Congress's own tally would be an all-time low. The BJP-led NDA could win seats ranging from 276 to 340 and the tally of the Congress-led UPA could be between 70 and around 130. The BJP's own tally could be between 236 and 291 and the Congress's own tally could be less than 70.
What about Jammu and Kashmir State? Some of the exit polls have predicted a massive defeat for the Congress and its ally, National Conference, and a great victory of the BJP and the PDP. The BJP could spring a surprise by winning three out of six seats. Since it is unlikely to win any of the three seats in the Kashmir Valley because of certain well-known peculiar reasons, it is obvious that the BJP would snatch two seats from the Congress in Jammu province and win the lone Ladakh Lok Sabha seat for the first time in the state's electoral history. It would be a great victory by any yardstick if the BJP captures three seats in the state.
As for the PDP, the main opposition party with its support-base confined basically to the Kashmir Valley, it is likely to win two out of three seats. In other words, it could snatch two seats from the ruling NC. If these exit polls are any indication, then it can be safely said that the ruling coalition in the state, like the ruling coalition at the centre, is doomed. A loss of four seats would mean a virtual decimation of the UPA in Jammu and Kashmir and the emergence of a new political scene with the BJP dominating the political scene of Jammu province and Ladakh region and the PDP that of Kashmir. All this shows that trust deficit and governance deficit have worked against the ruling coalition. Any way, one needs to wait till Friday to know the exact position. |
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