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| Rift in Congress may prevent party from sharing power after the 2014 poll in J&K | | | Early Times Report
Jammu, Nov 1: A number of mainstream political parties may face trial time once the allotment of tickets to candidates for contesting the ensuing Assembly election is finalized. Indications are that a number of party activists and junior leaders are preparing to contest the election either as rebel candidates or as independent candidates once they fail to get the party mandate.
As far as the state unit of the Congress is concerned the tussle for supremacy between the faction owing allegiance to the PCC chief, Saif-ud-Din Soz and the other loyal to the former Union Health Minister, Ghulam Nabi Azad, may assume new dimensions. This is so because reports have started suggesting that a number of party leaders' loyal to Azad, were being ignored for getting party mandate for contesting the Assembly poll.
Reports indicated that a number of Azad loyalists, including Ch. Garu Ram, B.R. Kundal, Yogesh Sawhney, Ramesh Sharma and Akram Chowdhury have not been considered for the party mandate and against this Soz loyalists, including Manjeet Singh, Shiv Dev Singh, Mula Ram, Suman Bhagat and Iqbal Malik may get the ticket for contesting the election.
According to these reports, Azad loyalists have already conveyed to the party high command that the Congress may suffer severe losses in the region of Jammu if those who have been loyal to Azad were not given the party ticket for contesting the poll.
Similarly if the BJP high command finally decides to drop seven MLAs, who were expelled on charges of anti-party activities and later were readmitted into the party, it may give new turn to the factionalism in the party. This can cause a deep embarrassment for the party because the existence and success of the party depends on the region of Jammu which is considered to be its stronghold.
Even the well-knit PDP too may face some trouble with a number of party activists having already quit the party after they found that new entrants were being given the PDP mandate for contesting the election. But when compared to the level of storm that has already set in the camp of the BJP and the Congress the PDP may be placed at an advantageous position.
Since the number of National Conference leaders wishing to contest the election on the party mandate has declined the party may face factional feud in half a dozen constituencies in the Kashmir valley and in three to five constituencies in the region of Jammu. The absence of Farooq Abdullah, during the pre-poll campaign and the anti-incumbency factor could affect the National Conference performance. Still one cannot treat the NC as a spent up force because it has shown its strength during moments of crisis. It may not be able to repeat the 1977 poll victory when it mauled the Congress and the then ruling Janata Party in the centre but it can be in the reckoning for sharing power.
Once the tussle between the faction led by Azad and the other headed by Soz assumes added dimensions it may force the Congress to lose its status of a Government maker. Right from 2002 election the Congress, even with 15 to 20 seats, could share power first with the PDP and then with the National Conference. This way the Congress has to win between 15 and 20 seats to retain its stature of acting as a Government maker.
Yes, its ambition for sharing power either with the PDP or with the NC depends on the performance of the two regional parties too. If the PDP, as its leaders claim, win a simple majority it may not share power with the Congress. Or if the BJP achieves its +44 mission the Congress will lose its capacity for sharing power with either of the two regional parties. Yes, at present the possibilities for the BJP to achieve its +44 mission are as remote as it is for the Congress to win a simple majority.
The way major mainstream political parties have decided to go alone in the poll battle chances for the election to throw up a hung House seem to be bright. There is nothing new about it. The 2002 and 2008 Assembly elections had thrown up a hung House thereby warranting formation of coalition Governments. |
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