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| Mood of Nation: BJP to get 48% votes, Cong only 18% | | If elections held today | | Neha
JAMMU, Jan 25: Is the 127-year-old "Grand Old Party" of India, Indian National Congress, which witnessed several ups and downs and splits before and after 1947 leading to the emergence of many other formations, down and out? The answer will be yes if one goes by the latest survey conducted between January 10 and 17 by ABP news and Neilson to find which way the wind is blowing in the country. The survey was conducted to assess the national mood and find which of the two national parties - Congress and BJP - has an upper hand or which of these two parties would win the general elections if held today.
The survey team, which conducted survey in as many as 28 major towns and cities and whose predictions in the past have by and large proved correct, found that anti-Congress wave is sweeping the country and predicted a clean sweep by the BJP if elections are held today. The ABP-Neilson combined conducted five surveys between 2012 and January 17, 2013. The BJP had upper hand in four surveys and the Congress in one. And the latest survey predicts that the BJP will get as many as 48 per cent of the total votes polled, the Congress only 18 per cent, the Left parties a paltry 3 per cent and others 17 per cent if elections are held today and if the competition is between Narendra Modi of BJP and Rahul Gandhi of Congress. It is extremely likely to happen indirectly, if not directly.
To keep the NDA intact the BJP may not declare Modi as its Prime Ministerial candidate before the election process is completed; he could be in all probability charged with the responsibility of leading the party's election campaign like Rahul Gandhi, who has been charged with the responsibility of managing the next general elections believing that he alone could rescue the Congress's "sinking ship".
The BJP's real problem if Janata Dal United leader and Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar who has announced that the JD(U) will quit the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) if Modi is declared the BJP's Prime Ministerial candidate. The latest survey showed that while 48 per cent of those who were interviewed by the survey team voted for Modi, only 2 per cent said yes for Nitish. The survey findings also show that if elections are held today, the Congress-led UPA would get 22 per cent of the total votes polled and the BJP-led NDA 39 per cent, a huge gap. As for the BJP and the Congress, the survey tells that the BJP will get 36 per cent of the total votes polled and the Congress only 18 per cent.
The findings of the ABP News and Neilson appear quite sound when viewed objectively and dispassionately in the light of the prevailing political situation across the country. There is hardly any State in the country where the position of the Congress is sound and strong. In fact, it has been at the receiving end for quite sometime now for various reasons, the eight most notable being rampant corruption at all levels, scams, inflation, spiraling food prices, Government-corporate houses-mafia nexus, social unrest caused by the irrational social policy, frightening internal security situation and flawed foreign policy. Another factor that has been working against the Congress has been its belief in what many call "fake secularism". The majority community, which constitutes almost 85 per cent of the country's population, is not happy with the Congress party, as it has come to believe that the Congress and the UPA Government have been ignoring it to keep a particular community in good humour. The fact of the matter is that the Congress and the UPA have become very unpopular over the last few years and the ABP News-Neilson survey only proves and indicates that. |
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