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| Meaning of 71 per cent polling in Jammu | | Coalition In Trouble? | | Rustam
JAMMU, Apr 11: People went to the polls on Thursday in 11 states and three Union Territories to elect 91 members to the 16th Lok Sabha. This was the third phase of the nine-phase election schedule. The people of Jammu-Poonch Parliamentary constituency also exercised their franchise on Thursday in very large numbers and with great enthusiasm. Nearly 71 per cent of the voters in this politically important constituency exercised their right to vote. In 2009, only 49 per cent voters in Jammu had exercised their right to vote. This means there was a huge jump of 21 per cent polling in this constituency. Samba district recorded a whopping 75 per cent polling. Marh assembly constituency records 80 per cent polling. It was a record of sorts. Surankote was the only assembly constituency where the polling was less than 60 per cent; it was 59.9 per cent and this should rattle the ruling coalition.
It was not only in Jammu that the people exercised their right in large numbers. It happened in all other 90 Parliamentary constituencies. Indeed, democracy won hands down. Credit goes to the Election Commission, the media - social, electronic and print - and the people. There is no doubt that India after years will have a stable Government in May. This hope stems from the percentage of voting that the different parts of the country witnessed.
What does the huge jump in polling signify? There is consensus that the April 10 vote was not for the Congress-led UPA and those formations which supported the UPA Government from outside. The case in point is the Samajwadi Party of Mulayam Singh Yadav and the Bahujan Samaj Party of Mayawati. The consensus is that the April 10 vote was a vote for a change and against the UPA Government, which had lost its credibility not because it had failed to deliver but because it was considered by the people across the country, and even outside, as the most corrupt, irresponsible, inefficent and non-performing Government. Since the high voters turn out always goes against the incumbent Government, it can be assumed that the Congress-led UPA would be out of power after May 12, when the election results will be out, and a new formation would be at the helm of affairs at the centre. It is obvious that it will be the BJP-led NDA with Narendra Modi becoming the Prime Minister. As said, the high voters turn out always goes against the incumbent Government. In Jammu and Kashmir, the April 10 vote could also go against the ruling coalition. The reason is that the ruling coalition in the state, like the Congress-led UPA, had also failed to deliver; it had no report card to place before the people to seek their mandate. On the contrary, it had only a negative report card. Not only this, it did not go to the people with a positive and developmental agenda. It contested the election only on one plank: Secularism - a non-issue for the people not only in Jammu, but also across the country.
Had the ruling coalition went to the people on a positive developmental agenda and placed before them a good report card, things on April 10 would have been somewhat different and there would not have been a huge jump in the polling. Even the supporters of the coalition candidate acknowledged this fact and opined that "the secular versus communal debate boomeranged and helped the opposition parties, especially the BJP, to make an optimum use of the coalition's negative campaigning and improve substantially its electoral chances". In any case, things would become clear in the morning of May 12. It will become clear as to who wins the game and who lost it and why. |
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