news details |
|
|
| Kashmiris voting for BJP & Jammuites voting for PDP or NC are improbabilities | | | Early Times Report
Jammu, Sept 6: Those who believe that improbabilities can turn,on a rare occasion,into probabilities say firmly that in permutation combination of political parties there are two issues that are improbable and never can become probable.
If majority of voters in the Kashmir valley,who are muslims,vote for the BJP in the ensuing Assembly election it means that something improbable has become probable.If majority of voters in the Jammu region vote for the Kashmir centric PDP or the National Conference it will denote impossibilities turning into possibilities.
Now that the BJP leadership is trying to achieve impossible + 44 mission to enable it to form the next Government in Jammu and Kashmir on its own it can do so if the majority of voters in the 46 Assembly constituencies vote in favour of the BJP candidates.Well improbables could have not become probables had the BJP been led by Attal Behari Vajpayee and Indian Government headed by him..
The anti-Modi mood in the Kashmir valley can be judged by the lack of response from people and the state Government agencies to Modi's television speech on the occasion of teachers' Day.In the initial guidelines from the Human Resources Development Ministry all schools were supposed to switch on the TVs so that students could listen to the sermon from Narendra Modi.Though the HRD Minister,Simriti Irani,made it clear that listening to the Prime Minister's speech on the teachers' Dy was not mandatory but voluntary,Kashmiris had already defied any regulation on the issue.And the rain gods came to the rescue of the Government agencies because on account of floods all educational institutions remained closed in the Kashmir valley during the last three days.
How then can one expect voters in the valley to vote for the BJP candidates ?During the recent Lok Sabha election the BJP had fielded its cadidates from two of the three constituencies in the valley and both of them had polled a few hundred votes despite the fact that both the candidates,fielded by the BJP,were muslims.In 2002 election the BJP had fielded Hira Lal Gupta from Habbakadal constituency in Srinagar district.He had polled 416 votes when the winning candidate an independent,Raman Mattoo,had won by polling 587 votes.It was the result of total response of voters to the separatists call for pollboycott.in the same year the BJP had fielded Gopi Krishan Mujoo from Sonawar constituency but he polled only 232 votes when the winning candidate,Mohd.Yaseen Shah of the National Conference had polled 344 votes. In 1972 election the Jana Sangh had fielded its candidates from several constituencies but none was able to poll more than a few hundred votes.
Hence it will be no less than a miracle if the BJP candidates won more than 20 seats in the Kashmir valley.It will be a saga of coverting improbables into probables if the BJP win even five to seven seats from the valley.
In 2002 the PDP had drawn blank from the region of Jammu which has 37 Assembly constituencies.In 2008 it had managed to win two seats.And it will be no less than a miracle if majority of voters,most of them being Hindus,vote for the PDP from the region of Jammu.The National Conference has had to remain content with the winning of five to seven seats from the Jammu region and it will be a miracle if the party led by Dr Farooq and Omar Abdullah is able to win about 20 seats from the region of Jammu.Yes,it can be possible if the party gets the support from Hindu voters.
If the muslim voters vote for the BJP in the Kashmir valley and the Hindu voters vote for the PDP in the region of Jammu it may be the turning point in the state's political history.It may give new and positive dimensions to the traditional communal amity and brotherhood.Once it happens the BJP may cease to be Jammu centric,and Hindu centric party.If the Jammuites vote for the PDP it may mean that the PDP is no longer Kashmir centric.
Let the voters in Jammu and Kashmir perform a trick that may puzzle poll analysts. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
STOCK UPDATE |
|
|
 |
| BSE
Sensex |
 |
| NSE
Nifty |
|
|
| |
CRICKET UPDATE |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
