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| Will BJP be able to convert sentiment into victory prospects? | | Modi euphoria catches up in J&K too….. | | Early Times Report
Jammu, Sept 16: Modi fever post his elevation on September 1 3 is fast catching up in entire nation across the political spectrum no matter with varying degrees. J&K unit of BJP is also upbeat and enthralled at this move of the central leadership. But the moot question remains will the J&K leadership be able to sustain this fever and convert this wave into victory prospects..? A look at the present status and style of functioning and unabated infighting suggests the answer in negative . A deep anatomy of the electoral prospects even after Modi elevation only suggests that this stalwart may work wonders for the party in rest of India but here in J&K it is not going fetch any magical results .
The euphoria that gripped the party cadres soon after announcement of Narender Modi as Prime Ministerial candidate was seen here in Jammu as well. The state unit celebrated it in a festive mood and mode like in other parts of the country, besides national capital where the development took place. There is no doubt that Modi's elevation at this juncture when masses have anti Congress and anti UPA mood for a host of reason shall bring some gains to BJP in 2014, particularly in the areas where BJP has stronghold. However, in J&K things do not appear so smooth and easy for the party to cash in on this Modi wave.
Political pundits say that even as the workers and cadres at the ground level feel upbeat and enthralled at this development, the euphoria is neither going to last long nor would it bring huge gains at the hustings. While there are a host of other reasons as to why it is not a smooth game for BJP to cash in on Modi sentiment, the internal squabbles at the middle and higher hierarchy may hamper even the outcome which the party is expected to show in routine, minus Modi factor. No doubt BJP has hold in many constituencies in Jammu region which if capitalized in right direction and in right earnest can prove a game changer in the political spectrum of the region, given the fact that NC, Congress as also PDP are also key players in the electoral fray in majority of the constituencies. However, the 'waves' or 'sentiments ', even though strong enough, cannot alone help translate into electoral victory.
This can be substantiated with the instance of the 2008 elections when the so called sentiment and wave in favor of BJP was at its peak for apparent reasons. Even the adversaries of the BJP had taken this as a foregone conclusion that party will sweep the polls both in Parliamentary and Assembly. It did indeed help party to raise the number of seats in the Assembly but the pro BJP wave could not fetch a single LS seat notwithstanding the fact that on one of the seats in Jammu region party had given mandate to a person who had emerged so popular and a towering figure at that time so much so that masses idolized him for his role in Amarnath land agitation. Insiders attribute their narrow margin defeat to internal fighting in the party, there being a long list of claimants and contenders for the tickets for LS polls for these two seats in BJP. The scene is much the same today and there is no change in attitude and approach of most of the leaders. This however, can be corrected provided central leadership concentrates on addressing this aspect. It must remember that even one seat turns and twists the games when it comes to number calculations. |
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