news details |
|
|
| PDP way ahead of NC | | PDP 33, NC 22, BJP 11, Cong 16 | | Pre-poll survey-2014
Syed Junaid Hashmi
JAMMU, June 6: Results of pre-poll surveys carried out by two credible agencies have put Mufti Mohammad Sayeed's PDP way ahead of National Conference (NC) and Congress in Jammu and Kashmir.
Though the agencies are yet to officially declare the survey results, the data accessed by Early Times shows PDP way ahead of NC in Kashmir valley and BJP doing a little better than what it did in 2008 Assembly elections in Jammu region. Congress is facing an uphill task in Jammu region while NC is on a weak wicket in Valley even in the Assembly segments where it did exceptionally well in 2008 elections.
If the results of the survey are any indication, PDP is likely to sweep South Kashmir with two odd seats going to Congress and do exceptionally well in North and Central Kashmir. Despite suffering serious electoral reverses in North and Central Kashmir during the recently held Lok Sabha elections, surveys indicate that NC would be able to retain some of the prestigious seats in North and Central Kashmir.
People’s Conference (PC) of Sajjad Gani Lone is likely to make debut in these Assembly elections with 1 or 2 seats in North Kashmir. Surveys have indicated that Congress would be routed in North and Central Kashmir. Its lone Congress MLA from Uri is on a weak wicket and if he contests the Assembly elections, he is likely to lose to either NC or PDP which are locked in a straight contest in what once used to National Conference (NC) stronghold.
In certain constituencies where the PDP had weakened during the last 65 months in North and Central Kashmir has got booster doze with the victory of all the three PDP candidates in the recently held Lok Sabha elections. PDP is now shown as retaining these seats. Besides, what makes the North and Central Kashmir fertile for PDP is the probable return of certain leaders who had left it after the 2008 Assembly elections.
Of the 46 seats in Kashmir valley excluding Ladakh; survey has given 30 seats to PDP in Kashmir valley, 12 seats to National Conference (NC), 2 to Congress, 1 seat to Sajjad Gani Lone's People's Conference (PC) and 1 to others. Out of the 4 seats of Ladakh region, 2 have been shown going in NC's kitty and 2 in the basket of Congress.
If the Kashmir and Ladakh regions are taken together, People’s Democratic Party (PDP) would be single largest party with 30 seats followed by NC 14, Congress 4, People’s Conference (PC) 1 and others 1. PDP has been shown emerging as the single largest party with 30 seats and NC second largest with 14 seats. No other party has been shown retaining the seats it has been winning since long.
In Jammu region, the surveys have given a clear edge to BJP over Congress despite the party being unable to find replacement of old faces, who were facing allegations of having switched over to NC in the elections for the Legislative Council and were expelled from the party only to be re-inducted in the party few months before the Lok Sabha elections. But what brings surprise is the increase in the vote share of PDP even in the traditional BJP and Congress strongholds.
Despite polarisation, BJP is shown having edge in just 11 of 37 constituencies in Jammu region but what was shocking during the survey was that the respondents talked of non-availability of 'good candidates' with BJP. They said that if the BJP puts up credible, honest and dedicated workers as candidates, things could go in its way. They also cautioned that a three way spilt of votes is likely to benefit NC and PDP in certain constituencies while consolidation of votes would benefit BJP heavily.
Surveys have pointed out that Congress is on strong ground in 12 constituencies after the recent Lok Sabha elections. NC is third in the race with 8 seats while fourth place would go to PDP with 3 seats, JKNPP would be fourth with 2 seats while an independent would win another remaining seat. Overall, results put PDP as single largest party with 33 seats, National Conference (NC) second with 22, Congress fourth with 16 seats, BJP fifth with 11 seats, JKNPP sixth with 2 seats, PC with 1 seat and Independents with 2 seats. Whatever results may be, but these Assembly polls of 2014 are likely to be watershed elections, impacting entire state. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
STOCK UPDATE |
|
|
 |
| BSE
Sensex |
 |
| NSE
Nifty |
|
|
| |
CRICKET UPDATE |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
