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| They have entered into poll fray hoping to achieve +44 mission | | | Early Times Report
Jammu,Nov 15 :-They have joined the poll fray hoping against hope.This is the state of mind of candidates belonging to the PDP,theNC,the Congress and the BJP.With its aim to achieve +44 mission the BJP has left its doors open for bigwigs to join the party.It has already admitted Ajat Shatru Singh,who belonged to the National Conference,and had won from Nagrota Constituency in 1996.In 2002 Assembly election he had lost to the BJP's Jugal Kishore by 67 votes.
The BJP is trying to forge a postpoll alliance with smaller parties and in some cases there seems to be a secret electoral understanding as the BJP wants to perform a miracle by either emerging as the single largest party in the Assembly or by achieving +44 mission.
While the BJP,which had won one seat in 2002 election and 11 in 2008 poll,all from the region of Jammu and none from the Kashmir valley,its morale seems to be upbeat after it won,for the first time,threeLokSabha seats from the regions of Ladakh and Jammu.
If the BJP,which does not seem to have pockets of influence in the Kashmir valley,which has 46 seats against 37 in Jammu and four in Ladakhregions,aims high one should not find fault with the Congress,the PDP and the National Conference if their target is to emerge as the single largest party in the Assembly.
The Congress leader, Ghulam Nabi Azad,who looks after the party's pre-poll campaign,is optimistic about the success of the Congress in the battle of the ballot.He has said that the Congress may get simple majority thereby may not need to share power with any other party.
The PDP Chief, Mehbooba Mufti,is sure that her party will win between 45 and 50 seats which means there would be no need for the PDP to share power with the Congress.In 2002 the PDP,which had bagged 16 seats,had to share power with the Congress which had won 20 seats.It finds going smooth in the region of Jammu where it has succeeded in hooking Mangat Ram Sharma,a veteran Congress leader,and his son to the party. Mangat Ram had won the 2002 and 1987 elections from Jammu West constituency.
The National Conference leadership believes that by the time polling takes place voters would have forgiven the party that may have committed some mistakes while running the Government during the last about six years.The party leadership believes that these mistakes were the result of coalition compulsions. Hence Chief Minister,Omar Abdullah, is trying to win 44 seats to run the Government on his own and without sharing power with the Congress.
If the BJP,theCongress,the PDP and the National Conference are confident on winning 44 seats each,which party then will be a loser ? There are only 87 seats and 44 are required for running the Government.Hence all the four mainstream political parties cannot aim at achieving the +44 mission.
Though poll analysts give majority seat to the PDP,one thing seems to be plausible.The ensuing Assembly election may throw up a hung House.Hence the four main contesting parties have to have a strategy that could get them to a position to share power.One thing is certain there is no possibility for the PDP and the NC to share power with each other. Therefore, the Congress has to cross the 15 seat mark to act again as a Government maker as it was able to do it in 2002 and 2008.The Congress had its option open.It can share power either with the PDP,as was the case in 2002 or with the National Conference as it happened in 2008.
This could have been the only option open in case the election threw up a hung House. Had not the National Conference leadership hinted at a possible post-poll alliance with the BJP.It is possible as the alliance between the Congress and the BJP is impossible in Jammu and Kashmir.
This way the four main parties,thePDP,theBJP,the Congress and the NC,live on hopes.It is hope alone that helps them to hope for a better performance. |
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