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Result of previous LS elections suggest an edge for PDP
Gained 8.11 % voters in 2009
3/21/2014 11:17:43 PM
Bivek Mathur
Jammu, Mar 21: If the results of previous Lok Sabha elections are any indicator then all political parties barring PDP have a reason to worry.
As per details available with Early Times , vote share of all political parties in the Lok Sabha elections in Jammu and Kashmir has fallen when a compare was drawn out between two elections of 2004 and 2009 except People’s Democratic Party which has shown a gain of vote shares by about 8.11%.
In 2004 Polls, the polling percentage was about 35 percent in the state whereas in 2009 it increased to 39.65 percent due to improvement in militancy related incidents due to Coalition of PDP and Congress. PDP in 2004 fielded three candidates and Mehbooba Mufti claimed one seat of Anantnag losing two seats where the party was runner-up with a total vote share of 11.94 percent but in 2014 with no winning candidate party gained the vote share by about 8.11 percent and reached 20.05 percent of total vote share where party's three candidates Mohd Dilawar Mir, Iftikhar Hussain Ansari and Peer Mohd Hussain were runner up losing three seats of Baramulla, Srinagar and Anantnag to Sharif-ud-Din-Shariaq, Dr Farooq Abdullah and Dr. Mehboob Beig respectively.
For other major political personalities including BJP, Indian National Congress, JKNC, and Independents, the voting percentage decreased. For BJP it was 23.04% in 2004 which came to lower percentage of 18.61% in 2009 polls. Indian National Congress with 27.83% vote share in 2004 reached at 24.67% in 2009. National Conference with 22.02% votes in 2004 reached to a lower mark of 19.11% voting share. Similarly with 37 independents in fray during 2004 and 28 in 2009 and one seat victory in both the polls, the voting percentage decreased from 7.38% in 2004 to 6.28% in 2009 out of total 100 percent voting.
So counting all these statistics, Political Pundits are claiming that PDP may claim these seats from Kashmir division owing to better voting percentage to the party in previous polls and anti-incumbency factor in state about the Congress and National Conference parties.

Performance of Political Parties
2004 LS Polls
Party Contested Won Runner Vote
-up Share (%)
BJP 6 0 2 23.04
BSP 3 0 0 2.22
CPI 0 0 0 0
CPM 1 0 0 0.82
INC 3 2 0 27.83
AIFB 4 0 0 0.24
JD(S) 1 0 0 0.07
NC 6 2 2 22.02
JKNPP 4 0 0 3.02
JKPDP 3 1 2 11.94
LJP 2 0 0 0.14
RLD 1 0 0 0.05
SP 2 0 0 0.26
U P 10 0 0 0.95
Independents 37 1 0 7.38
Total 83 6 6 100

2009 LS Polls
Party Contested Won Runner Vote
-up Share (%)
BJP 4 0 2 18.61
BSP 5 0 0 3.10
CPI 1 0 0 0.64
CPM 0 0 0 0
INC 3 2 1 24.67
AIFB 5 0 0 0.29
JD(S) 0 0 0 0
NC 3 3 0 19.11
JKNPP 2 0 0 2.81
JKPDP 6 0 3 20.05
LJP 3 0 0 0.32
RLD 0 0 0 0
SP 1 0 0 0.08
U P 20 0 0 4.04
Independents 28 1 0 6.28
Total 81 6 6 100
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