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| Let there be stable Govt in J&K, not hung Assembly | | | Early Times report
JAMMU, Dec 12: Three phases of state polls are over and the fourth, which will be held on December 14, will be the decisive one in determining who is going to form government in J&K. Let the people vote for a stable government and not for a hung assembly.
All the political parties, including, NC, BJP, Congress and PDP, are campaigning vigorously to turn the tide in their favour in the fourth phase. Each of them knows that this phase is going to be the decisive one to form government in the state.
All the four have been making claims of winning with a comfortable majority in the ongoing assembly elections but field reports indicate that the polls may throw up a hung assembly. In case no party is able to win a majority in the 87-member House, the possibility of forming a coalition government may not be so easy as it was in 2002 and 2008.The prevailing situation in the state has made it somewhat difficult for Congress to act as a government maker as it did in the two previous elections. Even as Congress was far away from winning a comfortable majority in the 2002 and 2008 assembly elections, it had the option for forging an alliance with PDP for sharing power and later with NC for running the coalition government. This time, Congress is faced with two major difficulties. First, it may not improve on its 2002 performance when it had won 20 seats and on its 2008 performance when it had won 17 seats. Second, during the last six years its alliance with National Conference experienced many lows, resulting in sever conflict and clash of egos. It was only its love for power that the coalition did not crumble.
In fact, the credit should be given to National Conference which did not want to precipitate conflict with its alliance partner for some ulterior motives. NC was mainly guided by one motive and that was to keep PDP out of power. NC leadership knew that if it parted ways with Congress, the latter could forge an alliance with PDP for running government.
This time even if Congress wins more than 12 seats, it is unlikely to opt for an alliance with NC but would prefer to repeat the 2002 experiment when Congress-PDP rule proved to be smoother than the Congress-NC coalition government. In that case, Congress may have no other alternative but to form government in alliance with PDP. It is felt that if PDP wins more than 25 seats, it may opt for forging an alliance with Congress but with the condition that the government would complete full six years under the chief ministership of Mufti Mohammad Sayeed. In 2002, there was a power sharing formula between Congress and PDP. It was Mufti Sayeed who headed the government for first three years. For the remaining two and a half years, Ghulam Nabi Azad led the government.
Now, BJP is also trying to win a sizeable number of seats, with the party having set Mission 44+ as its target. It is contemplating to form government with the support of some smaller parties and independents. Reports, however, indicate that NC may also give support to BJP-led government from outside to keep PDP out of power.
According to these reports, the main interest of NC in providing outside support to BJP is to prevent PDP from tasting power, the reports added. But the state needs a strong government to steer it on the path of development. The J&K economy is in shambles and the growing fiscal deficit has added new dimensions to the state's tight economy. Besides this, the state is still faced with the menace of militancy. Hence J&K needs a government that can mitigate people's sufferings. And, that is possible only if one of the four major political parties wins with comfortable majority thereby limiting the scope for the formation of a coalition government. |
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