| PDP, BJP to dominate Assembly after elections | | NC, Cong out of race | |
Rustam
Early Times Report
JAMMU, Nov 18: Yet another pre-poll survey in Jammu & Kashmir, which again predicts doom for the ruling NC and the Congress, which are also fighting against each other and supporting each other at the same time in certain assembly segments. The findings of the latest survey were broadcasted on Monday between 7 p.m. and 8 p.m. by leading news channel, NewsX. The pre-poll survey was conducted by C-Voters and the survey teams crisscrossed the length and breadth of the state to know the mood of the voters in all the three regions of the state. According to the latest pre-poll survey, the NC and Congress are likely to suffer the biggest ever defeat. It said if elections are held today, the NC would get only 11 seats. In other words, its tally would come down from its 2008 tally of 28 to just 11 seats - a huge loss of 17 seats. As for the Congress, the findings of the survey said that it could win only 8 seats. In 2008, the Congress had won 17 seats. In other words, the Congress is likely to lose 9 seats. To be more precise, the Congress and the NC would share between them only 19 seats. In 2008, their combined tally was 45.
As far as the PDP and the BJP are concerned, the pre-poll survey says that these two parties would dominate the Jammu & Kashmir Legislative Assembly after the elections. The earlier survey, which was also conducted by the C-Voters for the NewsX, had also predicted that the PDP and the BJP would wipe out the NC and the Congress. The latest survey says that the contest is between the PDP and the BJP and that while the PDP is likely to win 31 seats in the 87-member House, the BJP is likely to win 27 seats. In other words, while the PDP would improve its existing tally of 21 by 10 seats, the BJP would improve its existing strength by 16 seats. The survey also said that while the PDP would sweep Kashmir Valley, the BJP would sweep Jammu province and register a big win in Ladakh.
Interestingly, both the pre-poll-poll surveys have predicted a hung assembly. There are still many days and things could change. Anything can happen in the remaining period of 32 days. But one thing is manifestly clear: The NC and the Congress are out of the race. The reasons are not far to seek. |
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